Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 13.976165 15.852381 17.835767 20.083437 22.554528 25.183094 28.185169
2025-02-09 11.473110 14.100997 17.055030 20.600899 24.719723 29.331171 34.861459
2025-02-16 9.285361 12.309636 15.908830 20.459758 26.008693 32.501147 40.614142
2025-02-23 7.456309 10.638527 14.637977 19.946371 26.711357 34.944074 45.609084
2025-03-02 6.118460 9.364923 13.660201 19.621573 27.527387 37.488880 50.804228
2025-03-09 5.185264 8.477194 13.044601 19.645236 28.714097 40.493543 56.669672
2025-03-16 4.352403 7.597074 12.313532 19.399538 29.465898 42.915542 61.848532
2025-03-23 3.979093 7.340167 12.419198 20.296490 31.792260 47.500724 70.048655
2025-03-30 3.496105 6.835298 12.088991 20.506432 33.128377 50.766161 76.575074
2025-04-06 2.904227 6.057781 11.244252 19.850859 33.134519 52.139007 80.510161
2025-04-13 2.384505 5.318686 10.367837 19.046813 32.829789 53.006765 83.716719
2025-04-20 2.209294 5.179288 10.462416 19.777108 34.873161 57.332915 91.982632
2025-04-27 2.191828 5.350228 11.120350 21.501002 38.595680 64.352464 104.507882
2025-05-04 2.057824 5.270668 11.327726 22.483850 41.197817 69.805979 114.943574
2025-05-11 1.819473 4.937733 11.040318 22.594564 42.395940 73.175419 122.407679
2025-05-18 1.551287 4.492046 10.490107 22.192754 42.716173 75.190407 127.891202
2025-05-25 1.336043 4.124149 10.043816 21.930127 43.234699 77.510899 133.889915
2025-06-01 1.183371 3.874569 9.800879 22.010799 44.321899 80.746432 141.367387
2025-06-08 1.022378 3.571065 9.409679 21.773869 44.831890 83.056857 147.457060
2025-06-15 0.978724 3.568252 9.655805 22.778169 47.571719 89.076477 159.546003
2025-06-22 0.881911 3.400399 9.522012 23.020678 48.950775 92.894590 168.233545
2025-06-29 0.733960 3.050989 8.937448 22.307745 48.546092 93.717905 172.126837
2025-07-06 0.598446 2.700907 8.301874 21.427976 47.768158 93.859975 174.890384